Traders now view the $3.10–$3.30 range as the key battleground, with breakout projections targeting $4.00–$4.20 if momentum accelerates.
By Shaurya Malwa, CD Analytics
Updated Oct 5, 2025, 5:23 a.m. Published Oct 5, 2025, 5:23 a.m.

XRP pushed back over the psychological $3.00 level in early Sunday Asia trade, reversing Saturday’s breakdown that saw the token hit lows near $2.95. The rebound followed a heavy-volume flushout that cleared leveraged longs, with bargain hunters and whales stepping in aggressively. Traders now view the $3.10–$3.30 range as the key battleground, with breakout projections targeting $4.00–$4.20.
News Background
• XRP ETF filings — seven still live — carry October decision windows that traders frame as “binary” events for Q4 price action.
• Ripple’s Japanese partner SBI deepened its lending program tied to XRP last week, fueling institutional integration narratives in Asia.
• Broader crypto markets remain volatile after $1.7 billion in derivatives liquidations, though inflows into XRP wallets exceeded 160 million tokens in the past week.
Price Action Summary
• Rejection at $3.03 on October 4 confirmed near-term resistance.
• Breakdown to $2.95 between 13:00–15:00 came on 122M volume — 3x average.
• Closing stabilization at $2.96–$2.97 set the stage for Asia-session recovery.
• By Sunday morning, XRP pushed decisively through $3.00, flipping the level back into support.
• Momentum traders are now flagging $3.30 as the next test, with $4.00+ as the breakout projection.
Technical Analysis
• Support: Fresh base at $2.95–$3.00 defended by high-volume accumulation.
• Resistance: $3.03 short-term cap, with breakout zone identified at $3.30.
• Trend: Higher-timeframe inverse head-and-shoulders pattern intact, eyeing $4.20–$4.80 if $3.30 clears.
• Volume: Flushout volumes at 122M signal strong rotation, while Asian hours show renewed whale accumulation.
• Momentum: RSI mid-50s suggests neutral-to-bullish bias; MACD trending toward bullish crossover.
What Traders Are Watching
• Can XRP sustain closes above $3.00 and build a base for a run at $3.30–$3.50?
• SEC’s October 18 ETF decision window and spillover into altcoin ETF approvals.
• Whale wallet flows and on-exchange reserve changes as positioning drivers.
• Macro backdrop: Fed’s dovish pivot and Asian liquidity flows shaping risk appetite.
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