Bitcoin Surpasses 50-Day Average, but CoinDesk BTC Trend Indicator Remains Bearish

Bitcoin (BTC) Price News: Prices Move Above 50-day Average. What Next?

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By Omkar Godbole

Oct 27, 2025, 4:17 a.m.

FastNews (CoinDesk)
  • BTC moves above key average hurdle as Fed rate cut looms.
  • CoinDesk’s BTI continues to signal downtrend.
  • Prices are yet to top the Ichomoku cloud.

Bitcoin BTC$115,224.85 has recently crossed above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), a widely observed indicator of a short-term bullish trend. This breakout is validated by technical indicators including a fresh bullish crossover on the daily MACD histogram and a bullish cross between the 5- and 10-day SMAs, signaling growing upward momentum.

The recent upswing in BTC price is likely fueled by market expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut anticipated this Wednesday and positive developments in the ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions.

STORY CONTINUES BELOW

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Despite these encouraging signs, caution is warranted as the CoinDesk Bitcoin Trend Indicator (BTI), which gauges the presence, direction, and strength of momentum, continues to signal downtrend. Further, BTC prices remain below the Ichimoku cloud on the daily chart, a key resistance level. A decisive move above this cloud would confirm the bullish revival and potentially set the stage for a rally toward $120,000 and beyond.

BTC's daily chart. (TradingView)

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The Kobeissi Letter reported bank cash at the Federal Reserve fell to about $2.93 trillion; Adam Livingston says that level signals a shift that would favor bitcoin.

What to know:

  • The Kobeissi Letter said bank cash at the Federal Reserve fell to about $2.93 trillion last week.
  • Author Adam Livingston said reserves are “within five weeks of the danger zone,” argued liquidity is “bleeding,” and claimed ETFs are “hoovering supply” for bitcoin.
  • Livingston said the squeeze could spark a powerful bitcoin rally, framing it as a looming “mother-of-all liquidity pivots.”


 

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