Bitcoin Faces Risk of Pullback to $100K as Momentum Indicator Diverges Bearishly: Technical Analysis

Markets

Share this article

By Omkar Godbole|Edited by Parikshit Mishra

Updated May 27, 2025, 5:12 a.m. Published May 27, 2025, 5:11 a.m.

BTC faces pullback risks as momentum wanes. (Up-Free/Pixabay)
  • Bitcoin’s bull run has stalled, with technical indicators suggesting a potential price pullback.
  • The 30-day rate of change shows a bearish divergence, indicating weakening momentum despite recent price rises.
  • Bitcoin could fall out of its bullish channel, possibly testing support at $100,000, though the broader outlook remains positive.

This is a daily technical analysis by CoinDesk analyst and Chartered Market Technician Omkar Godbole.

Bitcoin’s

BTC$108,697.76

bull run has stalled, with emerging technical signals pointing to a possible price pullback.

STORY CONTINUES BELOW

Don’t miss another story.Subscribe to the Crypto Daybook Americas Newsletter today.See all newslettersBy signing up, you will receive emails about CoinDesk products and you agree to ourterms of useandprivacy policy.

The leading cryptocurrency by market value traded near $108,000 at press time, probing the bullish trendline, characterizing the sharp rise from $75K to record highs over $110K, TradingView data show.

There has been little bullish action in the past 24 hours despite reports that the Trump family media company plans to raise $3b billion to buy cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin.

A key momentum indicator called the 30-day rate of change (ROC), which measures the percentage increase or decrease in bitcoin’s price over the past month, has chalked out a “bearish divergence.”

The bearish pattern happens when an asset’s price rises, but momentum indicators like the 30-day rate of change (ROC) fail to confirm the same, hinting at potential weakness and price correction.

BTC's daily chart. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

Although bitcoin remains within a bullish upward channel, the 30-day ROC is forming lower highs, signaling a bearish divergence and weakening momentum.

Additionally, the daily chart moving average convergence divergence (MACD) histogram, an indicator widely used to gauge trend strength and changes, has flipped negative, indicating a bearish shift in momentum.

All this means that BTC could dive out of the bullish ascending channel, potentially revisiting the major psychological resistance-turned-support at $100,000.

The broader outlook remains constructive, consistent with the recent golden cross of the 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs).

Omkar Godbole is a Co-Managing Editor on CoinDesk’s Markets team based in Mumbai, holds a masters degree in Finance and a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) member. Omkar previously worked at FXStreet, writing research on currency markets and as fundamental analyst at currency and commodities desk at Mumbai-based brokerage houses. Omkar holds small amounts of bitcoin, ether, BitTorrent, tron and dot.

Omkar Godbole

 

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *