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By Sam Reynolds, AI Boost|Edited by Parikshit Mishra
Jul 16, 2025, 4:47 a.m.
- A Florida Congresswoman’s social media post speculated on the imminent firing of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, affecting betting markets.
- The Congresswoman, Anna Paulina Luna, is not a member of the committee overseeing the Federal Reserve.
- Legal precedents and existing laws make it challenging to remove Powell based on policy disagreements.
A Florida Congresswoman’s post on X has moved the market for bettors looking to speculate on the firing of Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell.
STORY CONTINUES BELOW
Anna Paulina Luna (R- Florida) claimed on the social media site that Powell’s firing was ‘imminent’, but provided no further details, moving the ‘yes’ side of a related contract on Polymarket by 4% up to 27%.
Luna does not serve on the House Financial Services Committee, which oversees the Federal Reserve.
The Florida 13th district representative serves on the House Oversight and Accountability Committee and Natural Resources Committee, and is a member of the House Freedom Caucus and Congressional Second Amendment Caucus.
President Trump has long wished to remove Jerome Powell, dating back to his first administration, but there would be significant legal challenges to removing him.
In 2019, the Brookings Institution prepared an analysis highlighting the 1935 Supreme Court case Humphreys’ Executor v. United States, which blocked President Franklin Roosevelt from removing an FTC commissioner, as a key precedent supporting the Federal Reserve Act’s “for cause” removal protections.
The law, as it stands, only permits the removal of Fed governors only for inefficiency, neglect of duty, or malfeasance in office, not policy disagreements.
And perhaps that has resonated with Polymarket bettors. In the hours since Rep. Luna’s post on X, the odds on the ‘Yes’ side have come back down to 25%.
Bitcoin traders dismissed the possibility entirely of Powell’s removal, with BTC staying flat.
Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.
Sam Reynolds is a senior reporter based in Asia. Sam was part of the CoinDesk team that won the 2023 Gerald Loeb award in the breaking news category for coverage of FTX’s collapse. Prior to CoinDesk, he was a reporter with Blockworks and a semiconductor analyst with IDC.
“AI Boost” indicates a generative text tool, typically an AI chatbot, contributed to the article. In each and every case, the article was edited, fact-checked and published by a human. Read more about CoinDesk’s AI Policy.
