XRP holds near $1.10 as traders watch long-term breakout setup

XRP price news: Why traders eye this long-term breakout setup in Ripple-linked token

Markets

XRP defended the $1.00-$1.05 support zone, but the near-term chart remains capped below resistance as analysts track larger wedge and channel patterns.

By Shaurya Malwa

Jul 9, 2026, 5:07 a.m.

2min read

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(CoinDesk Data)

Summary

XRP is still moving sideways near $1.09, but traders are watching whether the quiet range is setting up a larger break. Buyers continue to defend the $1.00-$1.05 zone, while sellers have kept the token capped below short-term resistance. That leaves the market compressed between a support area that has held for weeks and a downtrend that still needs to be cleared.

• XRP continued to trade without a clear fundamental catalyst, leaving technical levels to drive most of the session’s positioning.

• Analysts pointed to long-term falling wedge and ascending channel structures that remain intact as long as XRP holds above the $1.00-$1.05 support zone.

• Several chartists identified upside targets ranging from $2.20 to prior all-time highs near $3.65 if XRP can break its longer-term downtrend.

• More aggressive Fibonacci projections point to $4.10, $7.60 and $11.80, though those targets require a confirmed breakout that has not yet occurred.

• XRP edged from $1.0890 to $1.0900 in early Tuesday trading, with price still locked inside a narrow near-term range.

• The token briefly pushed through $1.088 resistance during a 23:44 UTC breakout attempt.

• Volume during that move reached 688,000 XRP, about 120% above the session average, before momentum faded.

• Earlier selling took XRP to a session low near $1.0742 after volume rose to 80.2 million, about 83% above the 24-hour average.

• The key development is that XRP continues to defend the $1.00-$1.05 support zone, which analysts say aligns with longer-term moving average and trendline support.

• The near-term chart remains weak despite the small bounce. Lower highs at $1.1133, $1.0993 and $1.0932 show sellers are still capping recovery attempts.

• XRP needs to hold above $1.088-$1.091 to build a cleaner move toward $1.093-$1.095.

• The larger setup remains a compression trade rather than a breakout. Monthly wedge and channel patterns may point to higher targets, but confirmation requires a sustained move above nearer resistance first.

• Relative weakness against bitcoin remains a risk, with the XRPBTC pair testing support near 1,700 sats.

• $1.00-$1.05 remains the key support zone. Losing it would put $0.90 and then $0.80 back in focus.

• $1.088-$1.091 is the immediate resistance area after capping the latest breakout attempt.

• $1.20-$1.25 is the next major zone, where candle resistance and the 100-day moving average sit.

• A move above $1.40 would be the first stronger sign that XRP is breaking out of its broader compression.

• Until XRP clears near-term resistance, the market remains a support-defense trade with long-term breakout targets still unconfirmed.

By CoinDesk Research

Jul 7, 2026

Stablecoin market cap fell to $312B in June, its largest monthly drop since TerraUSD, while tokenized equity volumes surged 145% to a record $3.86B.

Why it matters:

Stablecoin market cap fell to $312B in June, its largest monthly drop since TerraUSD, while tokenized equity volumes surged 145% to a record $3.86B.


 

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